Posts tagged Investing
Futures Up As Dow Drops
Feb 9th
As the Dow drops below the 10,000 mark, futures are moving up. This commentary can be helpful to your trading.
Stock Futures Pointed Higher
Stock futures are higher, an indication that the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s drop below the key 10,000 line in the previous session is in fact, luring some buyers back into what’s been a choppy market over several sessions.
At last check, the S&P 500 futures rose 7 points, while Nasdaq 100 futures are up 12 points and DJIA futures rose 50 points. Asia and Europe gained.
Stocks fell Monday for the third time in four days. Part of the pressure on equities derived from Wall Street Journal report that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will begin laying the groundwork for credit tightening later in the year. Ongoing worries over the debt health of some European nations also weighed.
News that European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet was leaving a summit in Sydney a day earlier than planned helped to lift the euro and European equities on Tuesday, MarketWatch reported.
A spokesman for the ECB said Trichet was always planning to attend a summit of European leaders scheduled for Thursday, but the market interpreted Trichet’s departure as increasing the chances for a European bailout package later this week, the MarketWatch report said.
As for individual pre-market movers:
Electronic Arts (ERTS) is down nearly 8% in continued negative reaction to its evening earnings. The company beat with Q3 earnings but offered several quarters and FY guidance that’s mostly below the Street view.
Cell Therapeutics CTIC) is off to a robust start after the company announced the FDA informed them that due to severe weather conditions in the Washington, D.C. area, the FDA is postponing the Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee meeting that was to be held on Wednesday, February 10, 2010 to discuss the pixantrone New Drug Application. The FDA indicated that it intends to reschedule the meeting as soon as the FDA can determine a schedule that will allow them to reconvene the advisory panel. –more
USD Positioned to Make a Big Move
Jan 5th
The FOREX market has seen some exciting movements recently. Many believe the USD and the GBP are both ready to move. These two article explain what is happening.
DOLLAR POISED FOR ACCELERATION TO DOWNSIDE
Monday’s strong rally in global stock indices and break in the Dollar renewed talk of the resumption of the negative correlation between global equity markets and the U.S. Dollar. Aggressive traders appeared to be already placing bets today that the Fed would continue to leave interest rates low for a prolonged period of time. Today’s action suggests that investors could be getting comfortable with taking on more risky assets once again.
The chart pattern in the U.S. Dollar Cash Index suggests that a new secondary lower top is forming at 78.22 and that the trend is poised to turn down on a break through the last main swing bottom at 77.33. The next downside objective is 76.31 to 75.80, which gives the market plenty of room to the downside.
The Dollar opened the first trading session of the year slightly better but a strong surge in U.K. and China manufacturing data helped to pressure the Dollar overnight. These two better than expected reports triggered renewed interest in demand for higher risk assets. Speculation is that global manufacturing will provide the spark for a worldwide recovery. –more
Pound Loses Ground Against Dollar
EUR/USD: After the euro rose rapidly during the first trading day of the new year, the pair has settled down substantially and moved into a sideways trading range.
More on CurrenciesEUR-JPY: Heading LowerForex: Dollar Turns RedEUR-USD Trading Higher The German report on the change in unemployment was much better than expected and showed that the largest contributing economy to the eurozone had 3,000 fewer unemployed persons than the previous month.
The euro received a slight kick upward on this news. However, it was still held back by a previous-month revision in the data that went from 7,000 fewer unemployed to only 1,000 fewer. This was the sixth straight monthly drop in German unemployment, which is a very positive trend. However, with an estimated 3.42 million people still out of work, it may be a little too early to celebrate.
GBP/USD: Through the early morning hours, the pound continued to lose ground vs. the greenback and dropped below the 1.6000 level before finding any support. –more
Commodities Set To Rise This Year
Jan 4th
Commodities are positioned to rise because of the economic growth that has occurred. This is important information for traders to know because of how commodities can effect other markets.
Commodities prices set to rise further on back of global growth
Commodities prices are set to rise further this year as the global economy expands faster, the International Monetary Fund has forecast, following the biggest annual price increase for raw materials in nearly four decades in 2009.
The IMF said that commodities prices were set to remain high by historical standards over the long term as the industrialisation of emerging countries supports consumption.
“Accommodating this demand will eventually require further capacity expansion in many commodity sectors, with some need to tap higher-cost sources,” it said in a report.
In the shorter term, Thomas Helbling, an IMF economist who specialises in commodities, said global activity was widely expected to expand at a faster pace in 2010, putting upward pressure on prices. –more
Year End Markets Review
Dec 29th
Markets have been improving as we come near the end of the year. There are a few factors that could be the reason. Christmas spending was better than expected. Real estate sales where better than the previous month.
Many investors are optimistic about the coming months and the markets are reflecting that, but don’t get too comfortable the markets could easily turn back down.
Market Analysis Before New Year
Equities rallied last week almost everywhere in the world, almost giving an upside direction for New Year 2010. There are few important things to note though. I will put my views on the possibility of breakout on upside looking at technical indicators.
Dow Jones Industrial Average:
This most followed index did manage to close above 10500 (weekly closing) which was proving a big resistance so far for almost a month. However, volume does not confirm a breakout but I give it benefit of doubt as last week was short in duration and the day it closed above this level, had half day’s session. However, the daily closing on Dow Futures does not suggest any breakout as the close and high, both were below previous ones. Unless there is clear direction from both the futures as well as index, we should be careful.
S&P 500:
This is the index I follow most and in my opinion its far better to look at S&P 500 chart than that of Dow Jones Industrial Average. The S&P 500 index managed to close higher both on weekly as well as daily time frame. Volume has not confirmed but again this may be due to the shortened week. The S&P 500 Futures has also closed on new year highs both on daily as well as weekly time frame and as of writing this post, it is trading marginally higher near 1123. I guess there can be more upside in coming days. –more
Related financial markets articles
- Fibonacci 50% Rebound Shows S&P 500 Meeting Strategist Forecast (businessweek.com)
- Gains Overseas, Retail Sales Data Boost Futures (abcnews.go.com)
- Futures higher ahead of housing, confidence data (seattletimes.nwsource.com)
Stock Trading Blunders To Avoid
Dec 15th
Stock trading blunders to avoid. There are a million and one ways to mess up when trading stocks and new traders are finding more everyday. This article covers the five major blunders that many traders make. If you know about them, you can avoid them.
Stock Trading – Avoid The Five Major Blunders
Anyone can loose money in the stock world. It makes no difference whether you are an amateur or a veteran. Stock gurus will tell you that losses occur owing to lack of knowledge of certain fundamentals of stock trading, poor discipline, and wrong decisions.
Though trading is trader specific, there are a few generalized rules that apply to all traders. If you are losing money in stock trading, you should look back and see whether you are indulging in any of the five major blunders while trading in stocks.
*Trading against a trend- this is considered as the most common mistake in stock trading. Experts recommend that you should never wait for a stock to hit an absolute low or high. Rather you should seek out established trends that will guide you in the right direction. Going against a trend means sure doom in stock trading. –more
Related stock trading articles
- Screening Stocks for Short Selling (johnchow.com)
- Wells Fargo prices stock offer at $25 per share (seattletimes.nwsource.com)
- Stock Market Volume: Still a Mystery (blogs.wsj.com)
Futures Strengthen As The Dollar Weakens
Dec 9th
This is unusual, futures gain strength as the USD drops. Could the futures start showing us what the stock market will do rather than the dollar? This certainly requires more study. I thought these articles could give some insight.
Futures rise as greenback slips
Stock futures are indicating a higher open on Wall Street Wednesday, bouncing back from the previous day’s losses as the U.S. dollar resumes its decline.
An upbeat profit and sales forecast from chip maker Texas Instruments Inc. is also helping to boost futures. The technology giant said late Tuesday that it is seeing an increase in demand for chips used in cell phones and other electronics.
Ahead of the market’s open, Dow Jones industrial average futures rose 39, or 0.4 per cent, to 10,310. Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures gained 5.30, or 0.5 per cent, to 1,095.30, while Nasdaq 100 index futures rose 6.50, or 0.4 per cent, to 1,775. –more
We have ourselves a cage match in the stock market today! CNN reports that U.S. markets are “poised for a rebound Wednesday“, and the Associated Press reports this morning that “stock futures rise after sell-off as dollar falls.”
But, today’s dividend futures data for the S&P 500 indicates that we should expect stock prices to fall.
Seeing as we turned out to be right last Thursday, when stock prices rose (even though the value of the U.S. dollar rose as well,) we’ll go with what the dividend futures are telling us as our market prediction for the day. –more
Related futures articles
- Futures Point to Higher Open (online.wsj.com)
- Stock futures rise after sell-off as dollar falls (seattletimes.nwsource.com)
- Commodities, credit fears hit markets (thestar.com)
Fibonacci Retracements – Do they work?
Dec 5th
Fibonacci retracements have been used to predict movements in all financial markets. Those who have studied fibonacci retracements have been able to use them to their advantage. If you can learn them your trading can improve drastically.
Fibonacci Retracements
Author: Anil Kumar Raju Addipalli
There are many technical analysis tools to an operator who can refer to. Technical analysis is a part of the trio. The other two are of course a fundamental analysis and new operations. Today, a trader tries to use all the tools to predict the movement of stock, the price reversals, rally and correction, support and resistance. Fibonacci retracement is a method of trading on the market. Of course, this indicator provides greater accuracy, if used in conjunction with Bollinger bands, trend lines, candlestick bars and others.
Sometimes, when the market works well, it becomes a tendency to return just as those who contributed to the strength to take their share of profits. This provides a great opportunity for a new operator to buy the currency at low levels. The phenomenon is called tracing.
Fibonacci Retracements values are mainly used to determine the duration of the correction in the forex market. Fibonacci series or numbers were discovered by the mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci. These figures are the sum of the two previous numbers. For example, 5, 11, 16, 27, 43, 70, 113 is a series of Fibonacci. If you understand these numbers, you can enjoy swing trader knowing in what direction will be an asset to.
A Fibonacci retracement grid tries to predict the day when the market may take a U-turn. This means that the operator can not guarantee the search for price and play time and powerful backhand. The Fibonacci retracement grid offers pre-assessed and resistance areas of support. This helps to make the right decision by reading the card. With a swing trader (in particular), makes its own levels. If the line Fibonacci retracement is above the ARI, it is quite easy to trace the conjecture, the percentage of a currency.
Now the theory is the operating principle of Fibonacci grid is simple. Before currency Conversely, it fell nominal percentage. According to the chart Fibonacci retracement of such reversals occur at 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%, now 50% more than a sentimental association and not a technique. It is estimated that a stock has a good chance to return to half the level.
In all, there are four popular Fibonacci studies. They are archery, time zone, fan and tracing studies. Fibonacci Retracements are read by more than the development of two main lines. These are low and the high peaks. The idea is to draw many parallel horizontal lines that cross the lines tend to 0%, 33%, 38.2%, 50%, 66.6%, 68.2% to 100%. (Pre-stipulates two tandem)
Now, how a trader profit? Well, after a major reversal in prices, currencies or for the correction of the levels of resistance to the Fibonacci retracement points. So if you know your legal issues, there is a big chance that you will have to win through it.
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About the Author:
I am a Forex Trader.I love currency trading.
Article Source: ArticlesBase.com – Fibonacci Retracements
Greg Michalowski, Chief forex analyst for FXDD, describes how Fibonacci retracement levels can improve your forex trading using Metatrader.
Related fibonacci retracement articles
- Big Technical Test In Store For Stocks (blogs.wsj.com)
- Riding the Waves of Irrational Behavior (time.com)
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